Tag Archives: seasonal analysis

September: Worst Month of the Year for Stocks

Stock prices have had an impressive run, especially considering the risks facing the global economy and the growing uncertainties fueled by the looming fiscal cliff and the upcoming election.  During the recent market advance, investors have become increasingly complacent, evidenced … Continue reading

Posted in Market Commentary, Market Timing, Seasonal Tools | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Take the First Step Toward an Investment Process

Most investors do not use an investment process.  Instead, they ask their friends for stock tips, watch CNBC, read a few newsletters (or blogs), and hope for the best.  There is no consistent rationale behind their decision-making process, very little … Continue reading

Posted in Fundamental Analysis, In-Depth Article, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Risk Management, Seasonal Tools, Security Selection, Stock Screens, SWAMI Charts, Technical Analysis, Zacks | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Are the Seasonal Trends Working this Year?

Knowing the historical seasonal tendencies of our trading instruments can dramatically improve our returns, but how much weight should we assign to seasonal trends?  What should we do if our other indicators are bearish and the historical seasonal trend is … Continue reading

Posted in Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Options, Seasonal Tools, SWAMI Charts, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Everybody Loves Fridays

We all use economic, fundamental, and/or technical data to gain insight into market movements.  Some data may appear to lead the market, but there is often no plausible explanation for their supposed predictive abilities.  This can be disconcerting for a … Continue reading

Posted in COT Analysis, Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Seasonal Tools, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment