Category Archives: Market Timing

Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Forecast – October 2013

Posted on November 7, 2013 by

This article presents the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for the October 2013 non-farm payroll data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Timing, NFP Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

10-31-2013 AAR Strategy Update Posted

Posted on October 31, 2013 by

The October 31, 2013 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page.  If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading →

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Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Market Timing, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

A Dual Purpose Trend Indicator

Posted on October 31, 2013 by

Identifying trends and recognizing overbought and oversold conditions are the main objectives of technical analysis.  This article introduces a new tool called the Volatility Adjusted Slope Indicator (VASI) that does all three simultaneously.  The VASI is standardized, which means that … Continue reading →

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Posted in AmiBroker Code, COT Analysis, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

The Deadly Double Divergence

Posted on October 24, 2013 by

Would you be interested in an indicator that has signaled ten market tops since 1966 without a single false signal?  I read about such an indicator in an article titled “Double Divergences in the Advance-Decline Line,” which appeared in the … Continue reading →

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Posted in In-Depth Article, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

September 2013 Non-Farm Payroll Release Tomorrow Morning

Posted on October 21, 2013 by

The U.S. Government is finally getting around to releasing the September Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data.  The release is scheduled for tomorrow (Tuesday) morning.  Earlier this month I published the Trader Edge aggregate neural network model forecast for September 2013.  If … Continue reading →

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Recession Model Forecast 10-01-2013

Posted on October 10, 2013 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through September 2013.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recession Model Forecast 09-01-2013

Posted on September 12, 2013 by

The following article updates the diffusion index, recession slack index, aggregate recession model, and aggregate peak-trough model through August 2013.

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Three Things that Move the Market

Posted on August 29, 2013 by

The equity market seems complex, but it is really much simpler than you think.  There are only three things that move the market.  The following article will identify the three cause and effect relationships and use this framework to examine … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Commentary, Market Sentiment, Market Timing, Strategy Development | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment