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Category Archives: Technical Analysis
7-31-2013 AAR Strategy Update Posted
The July 31, 2013 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page. If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more about the strategy, there is a detailed description on the AAR Strategy … Continue reading
Posted in Asset Allocation Rotational (AAR) Strategy, Futures, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Security Selection, Stocks & ETFs, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged asset allocation, asset allocation rotational strategy, COT report, DBC, e-mini S&P 500, EEM, EFA, ETFs, futures, investment strategy subscription, market breadth, relative strength, rotational strategy, sentiment, Trader Edge, US Treasury Note futures
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Trader Edge Strategy E-Subscription Now Available: 20% ROR
For the first time, I have decided to offer an e-subscription to the signals from one of my favorite proprietary strategies. I initially developed this strategy after the 2008 crash for use in my IRA account and have made several … Continue reading
Posted in Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Stocks & ETFs, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged asset allocation, asset allocation rotational strategy, COT report, DBC, e-mini S&P 500, EEM, EFA, ETFs, futures, investment strategy subscription, market breadth, relative strength, rotational strategy, sentiment, Trader Edge, US Treasury Note futures
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Use Economic Filters to Reduce Your Strategy Losses
When developing strategies, many systematic traders focus exclusively on technical analysis, with their primary focus on derivatives of price and volume. A few traders add sentiment and breadth statistics to further enhance their models. I suggest going one step further: … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Indicators, Fundamental Analysis, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis
Tagged economic filters, economic filters to reduce losses, economic forecasting, economic indicators, recession models, strategy development, technical analysis, Trader Edge
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Trend-Following Strategy Insights
Trend-following has been around for 40+ years and is one of the most widely-used strategies among commodity trading advisers (CTAs). In my personal library, I have six different books dedicated to the subject. I have experimented with futures trend-following strategies … Continue reading
Market Overbought – But Wait for the Trend Change
I introduced the concept of market breadth in a post titled “The Secret Weapon of Technical Analysis.” Based on current breadth readings, the equity market is overbought and due for a pullback. However, trading against the trend has a low … Continue reading
Combine Indicators to Identify High-Probability Reversals
I read about this indicator in an article titled “The DMI Stochastic,” which appeared in the January 2013 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities. The article was written by Barbara Star. In the article, Star combined two well-known … Continue reading
Modified Chartmill Value Indicator (MCVI)
I read about this indicator in an article titled “The Chartmill Value Indicator,” which appeared in the January 2013 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities. The article was written by Dirk Vandycke. In the article, Vandycke introduced an … Continue reading
Posted in AmiBroker Code, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Strategy Development, SWAMI Charts, Technical Analysis
Tagged Chartmill Value Indicator, CVI, enhanced SWAMI indicator, equity curve, equity drawdown, MCVI, MCVI strategy, MCVI SWAMI Indicator, Modified Chartmill Value Indicator, profit factor, reversal strategy, Sharpe Ratio, trade, trader
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Use Relative Strength to Confirm Trend Direction
In previous articles, I explained how to make market timing decisions with relative strength and how to use relative strength to identify market trends. Both of these articles used relative strength to forecast trend changes in the equity market and … Continue reading →