Tag Archives: market timing

Combine Indicators to Identify High-Probability Reversals

Posted on January 24, 2013 by

I read about this indicator in an article titled “The DMI Stochastic,” which appeared in the January 2013 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities.  The article was written by Barbara Star.  In the article, Star combined two well-known … Continue reading →

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Posted in AmiBroker Code, In-Depth Article, Market Timing, Strategy Development, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 21 Comments

A Relative Strength Market Timing Oscillator

Posted on December 1, 2012 by

I read about this indicator in an article titled “Roulette Wheels and Individual Stocks,” which appeared in the December 2012 issue of Active Trader.  The article was written by Richard J. Bauer, Jr.  In the article, Bauer used an innovative … Continue reading →

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Posted in AmiBroker Code, COT Analysis, Futures, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Recession Models and the Fiscal Cliff

Posted on November 13, 2012 by

Last week I introduced two new probit models to forecast recessions and the period between the market’s peak and trough associated with each recession – as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). In response to that article, … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Recession Forecasting Model | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Housing Starts Only Bright Spot This Week

Posted on July 20, 2012 by

Housing starts were the only bright spot in another dismal week of economic data in the U.S. The following post provides an overview of the major economic releases from this week as well as an update on market conditions, including … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

ECRI: “We’re in a Recession”

Posted on July 16, 2012 by

In a recent interview for Bloomberg, Lakshman Achuthan, the co-founder and COO of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), the world’s leading authority on business cycles, asserts that “we’re in a recession.” A video of the interview is available on … Continue reading →

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Posted in Market Commentary, Market Timing, Zacks | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Follow the Corporate Insiders

Posted on July 14, 2012 by

One of my favorite indicators is based on the commitment of traders (COT) data, which I discussed in the article titled “Trade with the Experts.”  In that article I stated that using the COT indicator “is almost like trading with … Continue reading →

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Posted in COT Analysis, Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Market Sentiment, Market Timing | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Use Relative Strength to Identify Market Trends

Posted on June 8, 2012 by

Relative strength rotational strategies have a proven track record of success, but the potential uses of relative strength extend much further than security selection.  One of my favorite techniques is to use the relative strength of two different indices, futures … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Futures, In-Depth Article, Market Breadth, Market Commentary, Market Timing, Relative Strength, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

A Very Bad Week for the Market

Posted on June 4, 2012 by

I have been focusing on providing a series of in-depth, educational articles to provide a foundation for future commentary, but the economic news was so bad last week that I felt compelled to address the current market environment.  The following … Continue reading →

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Posted in Economic Indicators, Market Commentary, Summary Market Indicator Score | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments